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Tropical Depression SEVEN


ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072013
500 PM AST WED SEP 04 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 66.2W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SE OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO
TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM SANTO DOMINGO
TO CABO ENGANO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO CABO FRANCES VIEJO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO TO CABO ENGANO

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DEVELOPED A
CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION AND IS NOW A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST FORECAST ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO
EARLY ON THURSDAY...NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
LATER ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE EAST OF THE TURKS AND THE CAICOS
ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.
 
THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE
COAST OF PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT...AND REACH THE WARNING AREA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.
 
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN AREAS
OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE HEAVIER AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN
DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:28:57 UTC