Tropical Storm ERIN

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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052013
0300 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  34.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  15SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  34.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  34.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N  36.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N  38.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.7N  39.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 21.0N  42.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N  51.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  34.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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