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Tropical Depression PAUL


ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
800 AM PDT WED OCT 17 2012
 
...PAUL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS THE CENTER MOVES ALONG
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DEL SUR...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 114.1W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL COASTAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF PAUL IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ALONG THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DEL SUR THIS AFTERNOON...
THEN MOVE INTO THE OPEN PACIFIC TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PAUL IS
EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...GUSTS OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT AREAS OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
 
RAINFALL...PAUL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 1 INCH OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH PAUL.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY PAUL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE COAST OF SINALOA FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:43 UTC