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Tropical Storm BUD


ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022012
2100 UTC WED MAY 23 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BUD.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 107.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 107.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 14.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.7N 106.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.8N 106.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 106.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N 108.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 107.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:06 UTC