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Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
2100 UTC MON OCT 29 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
38.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1      10      31      48      62      69
TROP DEPRESSION  X      15      39      44      34      23       9
TROPICAL STORM  60      81      51      25      18      11       6
HURRICANE       40       3       1       X       X       4      15
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       37       3       1       X       X       2       6
HUR CAT 2        2       X       X       X       X       1       6
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       1       3
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   65KT    50KT    40KT    30KT    30KT    25KT    20KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
AUGUSTA ME     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
AUGUSTA ME     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
PORTLAND ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
CONCORD NH     34 19   X(19)   1(20)   X(20)   2(22)   2(24)   1(25)
CONCORD NH     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34 84   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   1(85)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
HARTFORD CT    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEW YORK CITY  50 71   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
 
NEWARK NJ      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NEWARK NJ      50 62   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
TRENTON NJ     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TRENTON NJ     50 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALTIMORE MD   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BALTIMORE MD   64 51   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
DOVER DE       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DOVER DE       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DOVER DE       64 62   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANNAPOLIS MD   64 63   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WASHINGTON DC  50 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
WASHINGTON DC  64 37   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEAN CITY MD  64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
RICHMOND VA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
RICHMOND VA    50 20   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK NAS    50 59   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NORFOLK VA     50 59   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WALLOPS CDA    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WALLOPS CDA    64 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34 18   8(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
RALEIGH NC     34 64   1(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:56 UTC