Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane SANDY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SANDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182012               
2100 UTC SUN OCT 28 2012                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       1       5      29      45      57
TROP DEPRESSION  X       1       3      21      40      35      22
TROPICAL STORM  48      37      51      62      30      18      12
HURRICANE       52      62      46      13       1       2       9
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       48      51      37      11       1       1       6
HUR CAT 2        3       9       6       1       X       X       2
HUR CAT 3        1       2       2       X       X       X       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   65KT    70KT    65KT    50KT    35KT    30KT    25KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   7(12)
AUGUSTA ME     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   6(17)
PORTLAND ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
PORTLAND ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   2( 2)  18(20)   2(22)   2(24)   2(26)   4(30)
CONCORD NH     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
CONCORD NH     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X  12(12)  20(32)   1(33)   2(35)   1(36)   3(39)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)
BOSTON MA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X  26(26)  15(41)   1(42)   1(43)   X(43)   3(46)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X  32(32)  13(45)   1(46)   X(46)   1(47)   2(49)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X  25(25)  22(47)   1(48)   1(49)   1(50)   2(52)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   3( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X  19(19)  34(53)   2(55)   1(56)   1(57)   1(58)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X  36(36)  25(61)   2(63)   X(63)   1(64)   X(64)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)
MONTAUK POINT  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X  29(29)  53(82)   2(84)   X(84)   X(84)   1(85)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   1( 1)  25(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
NEW YORK CITY  64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X  23(23)  57(80)   4(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   1( 1)  27(28)   1(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
NEWARK NJ      64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X  21(21)  63(84)   4(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   1( 1)  44(45)   5(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
TRENTON NJ     64  X   X( X)  13(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X  34(34)  55(89)   2(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   4( 4)  65(69)   3(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)  28(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X  10(10)  48(58)  10(68)   2(70)   1(71)   X(71)
BALTIMORE MD   50  X   X( X)  32(32)  12(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
BALTIMORE MD   64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
DOVER DE       34  X  23(23)  53(76)   4(80)   1(81)   X(81)   1(82)
DOVER DE       50  X   1( 1)  56(57)   4(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
DOVER DE       64  X   X( X)  21(21)   5(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X  12(12)  45(57)   7(64)   2(66)   X(66)   X(66)
ANNAPOLIS MD   50  X   X( X)  31(31)   9(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
ANNAPOLIS MD   64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   8( 8)  37(45)  10(55)   3(58)   X(58)   X(58)
WASHINGTON DC  50  X   X( X)  18(18)  10(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)
WASHINGTON DC  64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  3  31(34)  34(68)   2(70)   1(71)   X(71)   X(71)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   5( 5)  47(52)   2(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X   X( X)  22(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   6( 6)  15(21)   5(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)
RICHMOND VA    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34  2  12(14)  13(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NORFOLK NAS    64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  3  12(15)  12(27)   3(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  3  25(28)  28(56)   2(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X   3( 3)  30(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
WALLOPS CDA    64  X   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 16   5(21)   3(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  7   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:56 UTC