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Hurricane RAFAEL


ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE RAFAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172012
0900 UTC WED OCT 17 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  60.7W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  29 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......210NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 420SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N  60.7W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N  61.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...240NE 270SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 43.0N  50.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 46.5N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 210SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 49.0N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE 270SW 270NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 54.5N  28.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE 270SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 50.0N  34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 43.0N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:50 UTC