Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm OSCAR


ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152012
500 AM AST FRI OCT 05 2012
 
OSCAR REMAINS A SHEARED TROPICAL CYCLONE THIS MORNING...WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER EXPOSED TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION.  THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE STRUCTURE SINCE
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 45 KT.
DUE TO CONTINUED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED BEFORE OSCAR IS ABSORBED BY AN ONCOMING COLD FRONT LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
OSCAR IS NOW EMBEDDED IN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF
A LARGE DEEP-LAYER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
ATLANTIC.  THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT OSCAR
SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL IT IS ABSORBED BY THE COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW...WITH THE REMNANT VORTICITY CENTER
SUBSEQUENTLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT.  THE NEW
FORECAST TRACK IS AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
 
STRONG SOUTHERLY GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT AFTER OSCAR DISSIPATES.  FOR ADDITIONAL FORECAST
INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE METEO
FRANCE MET OFFICE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/0900Z 23.0N  38.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 25.5N  35.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:09:48 UTC