Hurricane IRWIN
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HURRICANE IRWIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112011
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 120.9W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 240SE 75SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 120.9W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 120.7W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 14.2N 121.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 90SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.7N 121.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 90SE 75SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.8N 120.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 15.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 16.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 120.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
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FORECASTER PASCH
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