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Hurricane HILARY


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HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 115.7W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 115.7W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.8N 116.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.4N 117.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N 117.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N 117.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.1N 117.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 27.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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