Hurricane KATIA
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HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC TUE SEP 06 2011
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X X X 3 7
TROP DEPRESSION X X X X 3 8 19
TROPICAL STORM X X 2 10 28 50 54
HURRICANE 99 99 98 90 69 38 20
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X 3 11 32 40 30 18
HUR CAT 2 4 14 28 28 19 6 2
HUR CAT 3 62 56 44 23 9 2 1
HUR CAT 4 32 24 14 6 2 X X
HUR CAT 5 2 3 2 1 X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 115KT 115KT 110KT 100KT 90KT 75KT 65KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 13(24)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X 4( 4) 9(13) 6(19) 8(27) 2(29) X(29)
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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