Hurricane TOMAS

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HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
200 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010
 
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...13.8N 62.4W
ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF ST. LUCIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST. 
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* ST. LUCIA
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST.  TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT.
 
DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.  IN THE PAST HOUR A WIND GUST TO 48 MPH...78 KM/HR
...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE
ISLANDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
 
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS.
 
STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE...BUT WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
 
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