Hurricane TOMAS

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HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL212010
1100 PM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010
 
...TOMAS CONTINUING TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 72.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WNW OF PUERTO PLATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST FROM
THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF TOMAS WILL MOVE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE SATURDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120
MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...
AND PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS...HIGUEY IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REPORTED 10.35 INCHES...263 MM...OF RAINFALL...
WHILE POLO BARAHONA REPORTED 8.99 INCHES...228 MM. 
 
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
ONGOING OR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD DIMINISH ON SATURDAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS
 
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