Hurricane PAULA

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HURRICANE PAULA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182010
1245 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2010

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE ENTERED THE EYE OF PAULA AND
ENCOUNTERED STRONGER WINDS THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN SET TO 85 KNOTS AND THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS
BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD.  THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST.

THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY SUPERSEDES THE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY THAT WAS
SCHEDULED FOR 1 PM CDT...1800 UTC.
 
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/1745Z 18.8N  85.8W    85 KT
 12HR VT     13/0000Z 19.9N  86.4W    95 KT
 24HR VT     13/1200Z 21.0N  86.5W    95 KT
 36HR VT     14/0000Z 21.5N  86.5W    95 KT
 48HR VT     14/1200Z 22.0N  86.0W    85 KT
 72HR VT     15/1200Z 22.0N  85.5W    70 KT
 96HR VT     16/1200Z 22.0N  85.0W    60 KT
120HR VT     17/1200Z 21.5N  84.0W    50 KT
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BERG
 
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