Subtropical Depression SEVENTEEN

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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172010
0900 UTC WED OCT 06 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  67.0W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  67.0W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  66.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N  67.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.6N  68.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 24.2N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 25.0N  66.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 32.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  67.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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