Hurricane IGOR
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IGOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
0900 UTC TUE SEP 21 2010
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X 1 11 24 NA
TROP DEPRESSION X X 3 5 26 35 NA
TROPICAL STORM 31 25 55 53 51 37 NA
HURRICANE 69 75 42 41 12 5 NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 63 59 34 31 10 5 NA
HUR CAT 2 6 13 5 7 2 1 NA
HUR CAT 3 X 3 2 3 X X NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70KT 75KT 65KT 65KT 45KT 35KT NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 79 3(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 26 34(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
BURGEO NFLD 34 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
PTX BASQUES 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SABLE ISLAND 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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