Tropical Storm CARLOS
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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042009
0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2009
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 115.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 115.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 114.6W
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 10.8N 116.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 45SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 11.1N 119.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 11.4N 121.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 11.6N 123.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.0N 128.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 12.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 13.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.5N 115.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
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FORECASTER BROWN
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