Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Depression FRED


ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED DISCUSSION NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST SAT SEP 12 2009
 
OTHER THAN A SHORT-LIVED PUFF OF DEEP CONVECTION WELL-REMOVED FROM
THE CIRCULATION CENTER...FRED IS NOW A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID
OF DEEP CONVECTION.  IN FACT...THERE HAS BEEN NO CENTRAL CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH FRED SINCE ABOUT 0000 UTC....AND FRED IS NO LONGER
CLASSIFIABLE USING THE DVORAK TECHNIQUE. THE LACK OF DEEP
CONVECTION ALSO MEANS THAT FRED IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
AND IS NOW DECLARED A REMNANT LOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED
TO 30 KT...BASED UPON AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS AND THE ASSUMPTION
THAT THERE HAS BEEN ADDITIONAL WEAKENING SINCE THAT TIME. WHAT
REMAINS OF FRED SHOULD BEGIN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS...AS A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS TO ITS NORTH.
SEVERAL GLOBAL MODELS STILL MAINTAIN THE REMNANTS OF FRED DURING
THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...A RATHER HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT ALONG
THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD MAKE REGENERATION A SLIM POSSIBILITY.

THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON FRED.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/2100Z 17.7N  33.7W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     13/0600Z 18.1N  34.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     13/1800Z 19.0N  35.1W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     14/0600Z 19.8N  37.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     14/1800Z 21.1N  39.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2009 12:09:09 UTC