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Hurricane BILL


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BILL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 23 2009                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BILL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.                                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       3      11      22      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  X       7      23      39      35      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  56      74      66      46      38      NA      NA
HURRICANE       43      19       8       5       5      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       41      17       7       4       4      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        2       2       1       1       1      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   65KT    55KT    45KT    35KT    30KT    NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  49(49)   4(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 14  70(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34 81  17(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  4  44(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34 89   5(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
BURGEO NFLD    50  8  12(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34 89   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)   X(89)
PTX BASQUES    50  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
PTX BASQUES    64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 58   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
EDDY POINT NS  64 12   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
SYDNEY NS      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50 51   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
SYDNEY NS      64 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50 18   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 28   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
HALIFAX NS     64  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MONCTON NB     34 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 10   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2009 12:09:07 UTC