Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane NORBERT


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE NORBERT DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008
 
AN AIR FORCE PLANE WENT INTO NORBERT AROUND 2100 UTC AND FOUND
MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 90 KT...SFMR WINDS OF 67 KT...AND AN
EXTRAPOLATED MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 958 MB. SINCE THAT TIME...THE EYE
HAS BECOME LESS DISTINCT ON SATELLITE...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS LOWERED TO 75 KT IN LINE WITH TAFB/SAB CLASSIFICATIONS. THE
PLANE ALSO FOUND THE CENTER A LITTLE WEST OF THE SATELLITE
FIXES...SO I'M GOING TO LEAN A LITTLE IN THAT DIRECTION FOR THE
INITIAL POSITION. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE SYSTEM
MAKES LANDFALL IN AN HOUR OR TWO...AND A NORTHEASTERLY TRACK OF
NORBERT SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION OF THE SYSTEM OVER THE
HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY.  MOISTURE FROM NORBERT SHOULD
SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL U.S. PLAINS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
INCIDENTALLY...THE CIMSS ADT TECHNIQUE EARLIER ESTIMATED A PRESSURE
OF 957.5 MB RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL IN BAJA...SO THAT PRESSURE
ESTIMATE APPEARED TO MATCH NICELY WITH THE AIRCRAFT DATA.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/0300Z 26.5N 109.5W    75 KT
 12HR VT     12/1200Z 28.6N 107.6W    35 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:45 UTC