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Tropical Storm FAUSTO


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
800 AM PDT TUE JUL 22 2008
 
FAUSTO IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER THE COOL WATERS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
PACIFIC.  THERE HAS BEEN NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CYCLONE SINCE ABOUT 07Z OVERNIGHT.  DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND
SAB...CONSTRAINED BY THE DVORAK RULES...WOULD STILL SUGGEST ABOUT A
40 TO 50 KT TROPICAL STORM.  A 0925Z AMSU PASS SUGGESTED WINDS OF
43 KT FROM THE CIMSS TECHNIQUE.  GIVEN THE LACK OF CONVECTION
SINCE...THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KT.
 
CURRENT MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT...THOUGH THE
INITIAL POSITION IS NOT CERTAIN WITH NO MICROWAVE PASSES OVERNIGHT. 
FAUSTO WILL BE ADVECTED ALONG TOWARD WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST BY THE
LOWER-LEVEL FLOW AS IT DISSIPATES.
 
AS FAUSTO'S TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE IT OVER COOL WATERS AND
STABLE...DRY AIR...THERE MAY NOT BE ANY CONVECTION RE-OCCURRING IN
THE CYCLONE.  IF SO...FAUSTO SHOULD BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW IN 24
HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/1500Z 20.9N 120.8W    35 KT
 12HR VT     23/0000Z 21.3N 122.3W    30 KT
 24HR VT     23/1200Z 21.9N 124.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     24/0000Z 22.5N 125.7W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     24/1200Z 22.9N 127.4W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BLAKE
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:36 UTC