Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane ELIDA


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
200 AM PDT THU JUL 17 2008
 
ELIDA HAS FINALLY BEGUN TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF COOLER WATERS. THE
CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME LESS DISTINCT AND THE EYE CAN NOT BE
CLEARLY SEEN ON IR IMAGES. DVORAK T NUMBERS ARE BEGINNING TO COME
DOWN AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 85 KNOTS. MOST
OF THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THAT ELIDA WILL WEAKEN FAST...AND SO DOES
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

ELIDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS. MODEL
GUIDANCE KEEPS ELIDA MOVING WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST TO THE SOUTH OF
A MID LEVEL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE CYCLONE IS
STILL A SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM...AND AFTER THAT ELIDA SHOULD MOVE
WESTWARD STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.  
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      17/0900Z 17.5N 120.7W    85 KT
 12HR VT     17/1800Z 17.8N 122.7W    75 KT
 24HR VT     18/0600Z 18.0N 125.5W    65 KT
 36HR VT     18/1800Z 18.0N 128.0W    45 KT
 48HR VT     19/0600Z 18.0N 130.5W    30 KT
 72HR VT     20/0600Z 18.0N 135.0W    25 KT
 96HR VT     21/0600Z 18.0N 140.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     22/0600Z 18.0N 145.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:34 UTC