Tropical Depression FIFTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
200 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.

INTERESTS IN THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

CURACAO RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD
THE SOUTHEAST.

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT
360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. 
A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...14.3N...69.3W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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