Hurricane GUSTAV

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HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...GUSTAV APPROACHING THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BARAHONA IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST
NICHOLAS TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND HOLGUIN.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...SOUTH OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 240 MILES...390 KM
...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
FORECAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.  ON THIS TRACK THIS HURRICANE SHOULD
MOVE OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI LATER TODAY AND NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF 
EASTERN CUBA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE...AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER
MOVES OVER LAND TODAY.  SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHEN GUSTAV MOVES
OVER HAITI...HOWEVER RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER
APPROACHES EASTERN CUBA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
 
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...72.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
 
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