Tropical Storm GUSTAV

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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
500 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD HISPANIOLA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF
HAITI...AND FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM NORTH OF
PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF BARAHONA TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EAST OF BARAHONA TO SANTO
DOMINGO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI.
 
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING
NEAR OR OVER HAITI ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO MOVING OVER LAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25
INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE INTENSE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...16.3 N...71.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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