Tropical Storm EDOUARD
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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008
0300 UTC TUE AUG 05 2008
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 2 18 46 X X X
TROP DEPRESSION 4 17 49 40 X X X
TROPICAL STORM 86 74 32 14 X X X
HURRICANE 10 7 1 X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 9 7 1 X X X X
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 45KT 30KT 20KT 0KT 0KT 0KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 26 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 49 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 53 25(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 6 15(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PORT ARTHUR TX 64 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 34 36(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
GALVESTON TX 50 3 16(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GALVESTON TX 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOUSTON TX 34 10 48(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
HOUSTON TX 50 1 11(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
HOUSTON TX 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUSTIN TX 34 1 8( 9) 8(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
AUSTIN TX 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FREEPORT TX 34 11 30(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
FREEPORT TX 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FREEPORT TX 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 6 8(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 7( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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