Tropical Depression KIKO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007
0300 UTC WED OCT 17 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 141N 1071W 34 18 8(26) 7(33) 2(35) 1(36) 1(37) 1(38)
12 141N 1071W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
12 141N 1071W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 145N 1068W 34 11 11(22) 7(29) 4(33) 2(35) 1(36) 1(37)
24 145N 1068W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
24 145N 1068W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 149N 1069W 34 5 11(16) 9(25) 4(29) 3(32) 2(34) 1(35)
36 149N 1069W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
36 149N 1069W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 155N 1072W 34 2 6( 8) 9(17) 7(24) 4(28) 2(30) 1(31)
48 155N 1072W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
48 155N 1072W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 162N 1076W 34 1 2( 3) 6( 9) 7(16) 5(21) 2(23) 2(25)
72 162N 1076W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 162N 1076W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 170N 1080W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 2(19)
96 170N 1080W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 170N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
120 175N 1090W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14)
120 175N 1090W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
120 175N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 35 35 35 40 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN
NNNN
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