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Tropical Storm IVO
ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007
2100 UTC WED SEP 19 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) 3(20)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 3(18)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) 2(14)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) 8(21) 12(33) 2(35) X(35)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLA CLARION 34 2 22(24) 29(53) 13(66) 6(72) 1(73) 1(74)
ISLA CLARION 50 X 3( 3) 17(20) 11(31) 3(34) 1(35) X(35)
ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 160N 1130W 34 92 4(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 160N 1130W 50 53 15(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
12 160N 1130W 64 31 11(42) 2(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
24 168N 1137W 34 51 32(83) 7(90) 1(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
24 168N 1137W 50 6 39(45) 9(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57)
24 168N 1137W 64 2 21(23) 7(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
36 179N 1140W 34 5 43(48) 22(70) 6(76) 5(81) 1(82) X(82)
36 179N 1140W 50 X 10(10) 23(33) 7(40) 3(43) 1(44) X(44)
36 179N 1140W 64 X 3( 3) 13(16) 4(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
48 189N 1137W 34 2 14(16) 31(47) 15(62) 9(71) 1(72) 1(73)
48 189N 1137W 50 X 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25) 7(32) 1(33) X(33)
48 189N 1137W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16)
72 210N 1125W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 23(43) 5(48) 1(49)
72 210N 1125W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 2(16) X(16)
72 210N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 220N 1115W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 20(27) 6(33) 3(36)
96 220N 1115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
96 220N 1115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
120 230N 1095W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) 3(18)
120 230N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
120 230N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 75 75 75 70 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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