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Hurricane HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23             
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
LORETO         34 29   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  2   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GUAYMAS        34 23  13(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
GUAYMAS        50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATABAMPO     34 95   2(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
HUATABAMPO     50 24   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LOS MOCHIS     50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CULICAN        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 268N 1101W 34 91   2(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 268N 1101W 50 37   7(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 12 268N 1101W 64  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 24 295N 1092W 34  1  25(26)   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 24 295N 1092W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 295N 1092W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 325N 1075W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 325N 1075W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 36 325N 1075W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     35      20       0       0       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC