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Tropical Storm HENRIETTE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP112007               
2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   7(22)   X(22)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   3( 3)  28(31)  19(50)  12(62)   1(63)   X(63)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  12(20)   6(26)   1(27)   X(27)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   3( 3)  22(25)  20(45)  12(57)   2(59)   X(59)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   6(20)   1(21)   X(21)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
LA PAZ         34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  17(27)  22(49)   4(53)   X(53)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  11(16)   1(17)   X(17)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LORETO         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  23(28)   8(36)   X(36)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 
P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   5(11)   X(11)
 
BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   X(16)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   9(22)   X(22)
GUAYMAS        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  15(18)   6(24)   X(24)
HUATABAMPO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)  15(20)   4(24)   X(24)
LOS MOCHIS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
CULICAN        34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)  17(27)   3(30)   X(30)
CULICAN        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
MAZATLAN       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SAN BLAS       34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
P VALLARTA     34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MANZANILLO     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLA SOCORRO   34  1   5( 6)   8(14)   3(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  1   5( 6)   6(12)   2(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
ISLAS MARIAS   50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 191N 1074W 34 89   7(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 191N 1074W 50 56  16(72)   1(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 12 191N 1074W 64 31  11(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 
 24 201N 1086W 34  7  68(75)  12(87)   1(88)   1(89)   X(89)   X(89)
 24 201N 1086W 50  1  39(40)  14(54)   1(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 201N 1086W 64  X  19(19)   9(28)   1(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 36 213N 1097W 34  1  22(23)  44(67)   9(76)   3(79)   1(80)   X(80)
 36 213N 1097W 50  X   5( 5)  29(34)   9(43)   2(45)   1(46)   X(46)
 36 213N 1097W 64  X   1( 1)  17(18)   5(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 48 226N 1106W 34  X   3( 3)  30(33)  22(55)  14(69)   1(70)   X(70)
 48 226N 1106W 50  X   X( X)   9( 9)  15(24)   8(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 48 226N 1106W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 
 72 255N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)  26(35)   7(42)   X(42)
 72 255N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
 72 255N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 305N 1115W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 96 305N 1115W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 305N 1115W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     75      85      75      65      40       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:03 UTC