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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE


ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2          
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007               
0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 132N 1300W 34 39  15(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 12 132N 1300W 50  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 12 132N 1300W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 132N 1322W 34  1  40(41)  12(53)   X(53)   1(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 24 132N 1322W 50  X   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 132N 1322W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 132N 1345W 34  X   4( 4)  37(41)  10(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 36 132N 1345W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)   4(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 132N 1345W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 133N 1366W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  21(32)  11(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 48 133N 1366W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 48 133N 1366W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 139N 1407W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   7(28)   1(29)
 72 139N 1407W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 72 139N 1407W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 150N 1450W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   4(16)
 96 150N 1450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 96 150N 1450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 160N 1490W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
120 160N 1490W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 160N 1490W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      50      50      45      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:00 UTC