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Tropical Depression DALILA


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007
200 AM PDT FRI JUL 27 2007
 
ALL OF THE DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH DALILA HAS DISSIPATED AND
THE CYCLONE HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SKELETON OF ITS FORMER SELF.  AN
EARLIER QUIKSCAT AROUND 0200 UTC INDICATED MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE
30-35 KT RANGE.  GIVEN THE PRESENT TREND IN CONVECTION...THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY IS SET AT THE LOWER END OF THIS RANGE WHICH IS
ALSO CONSISTENT WITH DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES.  REGENERATION IS
NOT EXPECTED GIVEN THE COLD WATER ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...AND
DALILA WILL LIKELY BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY
DISSIPATION IN 2-3 DAYS.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/10. DALILA IS ESSENTIALLY MOVING
ALONG THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS ARE
REQUIRED.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0900Z 22.9N 117.2W    30 KT
 12HR VT     27/1800Z 23.3N 118.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/0600Z 23.8N 120.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     28/1800Z 24.2N 121.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/0600Z 24.3N 123.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC