Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm DALILA


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072007
200 AM PDT THU JUL 26 2007
 
DALILA IS NOT DONE YET. WHILE CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN
SEMICIRCLE HAS DISSIPATED...NEW CONVECTION HAS FORMED OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND IS WRAPPING AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION CENTER. DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB
REMAIN AT 45 KT...AND THE CIMSS ADT HAS INCHED UPWARDS TO 41 KT.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS MISSED THE CYCLONE SO THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS BASED SOLELY ON THE DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES. DALILA'S 11TH HOUR HEROICS WILL LIKELY BE SHORT-LIVED AS
THE CYCLONE IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE 26C ISOTHERM. THE ANTICIPATED
TRACK OVER PROGRESSIVELY COOLER WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
GRADUAL SPIN DOWN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
DALILA IS MOVING RIGHT ALONG THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND THE
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS UNCHANGED AT 310/8.  DEEP CONVECTION
SHOULD FIZZLE LATER TODAY AND THE DECAYING CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED
TO TURN WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW.  MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE
OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      26/0900Z 20.9N 113.1W    45 KT
 12HR VT     26/1800Z 21.6N 114.2W    40 KT
 24HR VT     27/0600Z 22.5N 115.8W    35 KT
 36HR VT     27/1800Z 23.3N 117.5W    30 KT
 48HR VT     28/0600Z 23.9N 119.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     29/0600Z 24.5N 121.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     30/0600Z 24.5N 124.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     31/0600Z 24.0N 126.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:59 UTC