Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane COSME


ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10                 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062007               
2100 UTC MON JUL 16 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   2(14)   X(14)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 149N 1329W 34 95   3(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 149N 1329W 50 61  12(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
 12 149N 1329W 64 26   8(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 
 24 152N 1349W 34 11  62(73)  10(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 24 152N 1349W 50  1  33(34)  10(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 24 152N 1349W 64  X  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
 36 156N 1373W 34  2  10(12)  43(55)   9(64)   2(66)   X(66)   X(66)
 36 156N 1373W 50  X   1( 1)  17(18)   6(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 156N 1373W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 160N 1397W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  25(38)  11(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 48 160N 1397W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 160N 1397W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 175N 1455W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   6(25)   X(25)
 72 175N 1455W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 175N 1455W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 185N 1515W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)
 96 185N 1515W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 96 185N 1515W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 190N 1575W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
120 190N 1575W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 190N 1575W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     70     65      60      55      50      45      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:57 UTC