Tropical Depression FOURTEEN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007
1500 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 144N 273W 34 26 15(41) 1(42) X(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43)
12 144N 273W 50 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 144N 273W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 150N 285W 34 4 28(32) 8(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
24 150N 285W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
24 150N 285W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 160N 300W 34 X 7( 7) 20(27) 5(32) 1(33) 1(34) X(34)
36 160N 300W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 160N 300W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 170N 315W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25)
48 170N 315W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 170N 315W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 185N 340W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 2(15) 1(16)
72 185N 340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 185N 340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 2(12)
96 210N 360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 210N 360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 250N 366W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 250N 366W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 250N 366W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 40 35 30 25 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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