Tropical Depression MELISSA

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL142007
1500 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  32.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  32.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  32.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.7N  34.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.7N  36.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.8N  38.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.2N  40.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.5N  43.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  32.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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