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Tropical Storm GABRIELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007               
0300 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   X(18)   X(18)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   3( 3)  14(17)   6(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X  22(22)  13(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 14  38(52)   5(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   8( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 45   9(54)   2(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  4   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 343N  759W 34 54   9(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 12 343N  759W 50  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 343N  759W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 358N  756W 34  4  44(48)   9(57)   2(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 358N  756W 50  X   7( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 358N  756W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 371N  740W 34  X   6( 6)  34(40)   8(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
 36 371N  740W 50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 371N  740W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 48 390N  710W 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  23(27)   9(36)   X(36)   X(36)
 48 390N  710W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 390N  710W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 430N  625W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 72 430N  625W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 430N  625W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      45      45      45       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:46 UTC