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Tropical Storm GABRIELLE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072007               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   X(13)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   X(12)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)   X(21)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)   X(14)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   1(13)   X(13)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   2(17)   X(17)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)   3(18)   X(18)   X(18)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   5( 5)  14(19)   5(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  1  33(34)  20(54)   4(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   5( 5)   7(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  8  34(42)   7(49)   2(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  1   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 332N  754W 34 70   6(76)   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
 12 332N  754W 50  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 332N  754W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 346N  758W 34 12  41(53)   9(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 24 346N  758W 50  X   9( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 24 346N  758W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 360N  748W 34  X  11(11)  28(39)   9(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)
 36 360N  748W 50  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 36 360N  748W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 376N  728W 34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)  23(32)   9(41)   1(42)   X(42)
 48 376N  728W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 48 376N  728W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 415N  655W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   7(26)   X(26)
 72 415N  655W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 415N  655W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 460N  550W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   X(15)
 96 460N  550W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 96 460N  550W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      45      45      45      45       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:46 UTC