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Hurricane FELIX


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.   A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR HONDURAS FROM LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS NICARAGUA BORDER.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR THE
CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.8W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  77.8W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  76.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.6N  80.4W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.1N  83.2W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.8N  85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.3N  88.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N  92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 19.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  77.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:44 UTC