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Hurricane FELIX


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FROM LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMEMLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  73.9W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  930 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  73.9W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  73.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.5N  76.6W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.0N  79.8W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.6N  82.8W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.2N  85.2W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.5N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  73.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:44 UTC