Hurricane FELIX

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HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  70.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  40SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  70.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  69.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.7N  72.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.4N  76.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.1N  79.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.8N  82.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 17.0N  87.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N  94.0W...GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  70.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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