Hurricane FELIX

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HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DUTCH NETHERLAND
ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  66.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  66.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  66.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.2N  69.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.0N  73.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.7N  76.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.4N  79.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 18.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 20.5N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  66.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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