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Hurricane DEAN


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042007
0900 UTC MON AUG 20 2007
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO CANCUN.  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA
WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.   A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN COASTS
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF CANCUN TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF
GUANTANAMO.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE
BELIZE/GUATEMALA BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES
OF CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS... CIENFUEGOS... MATANZAS...AND ISLA DE LA JUVENTUD.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE SOUTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  80.7W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  926 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..350NE 350SE 275SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  80.7W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  79.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.1N  83.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.8N  87.0W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.6N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE  75SE  60SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N  94.0W...BAY OF CAMPECHE
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  75SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.0N 100.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  80.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BROWN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:41 UTC