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Tropical Storm CHANTAL
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032007
2100 UTC TUE JUL 31 2007
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 39(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 2 56(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 7 17(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
BURGEO NFLD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 52 X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 445N 573W 34 67 2(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
12 445N 573W 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 445N 573W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 486N 497W 34 X 45(45) 5(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
24 486N 497W 50 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 486N 497W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 535N 405W 34 X X( X) 38(38) 9(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48)
36 535N 405W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
36 535N 405W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 570N 345W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 37(38) 12(50) 1(51) X(51)
48 570N 345W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) X(17) X(17)
48 570N 345W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 600N 275W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 36(41) 8(49) 1(50)
72 600N 275W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) 1(17)
72 600N 275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
96 620N 190W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 17(30) 5(35)
96 620N 190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 1(11)
96 620N 190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
120 640N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 7(20)
120 640N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 640N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 45 45 45 50 40 35
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
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