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Tropical Storm BARRY


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022007               
0900 UTC SAT JUN 02 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   X(17)   X(17)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   3(23)   X(23)   X(23)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)  10(10)  14(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)  20(20)   8(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   1( 1)  24(25)   4(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   4( 4)  22(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X  11(11)   9(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X  29(29)   1(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  1  25(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  3  10(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34 29   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
 
TAMPA FL       34 49   4(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
TAMPA FL       50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34 17  13(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 282N  829W 34 52   4(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 12 282N  829W 50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 12 282N  829W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 313N  808W 34  X  28(28)   6(34)   X(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 24 313N  808W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 313N  808W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 340N  786W 34  X   X( X)  23(23)   5(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 36 340N  786W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 340N  786W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 367N  758W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)   4(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 48 367N  758W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 367N  758W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 440N  700W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 72 440N  700W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 72 440N  700W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     40      40      40      35       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC