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Subtropical Storm ANDREA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3        
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012007               
0300 UTC THU MAY 10 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  1   5( 6)   8(14)   7(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 304N  800W 34 41  10(51)   2(53)   3(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 12 304N  800W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 12 304N  800W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 300N  802W 34 17  13(30)   4(34)   6(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)
 24 300N  802W 50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 24 300N  802W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 295N  805W 34  4  12(16)   6(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 36 295N  805W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 295N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 295N  805W 34  4  12(16)   6(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 295N  805W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 48 295N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 295N  805W 34  4  12(16)   6(22)   8(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 72 295N  805W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 72 295N  805W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     35      30      25      25       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:40 UTC