Hurricane PAUL

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HURRICANE PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
2100 UTC MON OCT 23 2006
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...AND FROM
LA PAZ SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.6W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 111.6W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 111.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.2N 111.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.1N 110.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.2N 108.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.5N 106.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 111.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
 
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