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Tropical Storm PAUL


ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP172006
1500 UTC SUN OCT 22 2006
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PAUL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 109.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 109.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.8N 109.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.0N 110.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.9N 110.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 109.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 22-Oct-2006 14:40:03 UTC