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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression KRISTY


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
2100 UTC THU SEP 07 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 158N 1314W 34  6   5(11)   X(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 12 158N 1314W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 158N 1314W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 157N 1327W 34  X   9( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 157N 1327W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 157N 1327W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 156N 1337W 34  X   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 156N 1337W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 156N 1337W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 156N 1347W 34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 156N 1347W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 156N 1347W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 155N 1365W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 155N 1365W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 155N 1365W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     25      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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