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Tropical Depression KRISTY


ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122006               
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 165N 1310W 34  7   5(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 12 165N 1310W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 165N 1310W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 165N 1327W 34  1  14(15)   5(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 24 165N 1327W 50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 24 165N 1327W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 165N 1343W 34  X   4( 4)  11(15)   4(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 36 165N 1343W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 165N 1343W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 165N 1357W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)   5(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 48 165N 1357W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 48 165N 1357W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 165N 1385W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   1(14)
 72 165N 1385W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 72 165N 1385W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 165N 1415W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 96 165N 1415W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 165N 1415W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 160N 1445W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
120 160N 1445W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 160N 1445W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     30      30      30      30      25      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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